Akcie společnosti Valeo (EPA:VLOF) v pátek ráno klesly o více než 16 % poté, co francouzský dodavatel automobilových dílů snížil svou roční prognózu tržeb nejméně o 1 miliardu eur (1,2 miliardy dolarů) a jako důvod uvedl oslabení dolaru a pokles globálních prodejů automobilů.
Výrobce a designér asistenčních systémů pro řidiče ve čtvrtek večer oznámil, že v letošním roce očekává tržby ve výši přibližně 20,5 miliardy eur, což je méně než předchozí prognóza 21,5–22,5 miliardy eur.
Vzhledem k tomu, že americká cla na dovoz zahraničních automobilů ohrožují marže a objem prodeje automobilek, generální ředitel Valeo Christophe Périllat analytikům sdělil, že společnost bude těžit z programu snižování nákladů.
V pátek společnost Volkswagen (ETR:VOWG_p), jeden z největších zákazníků Valeo, snížila ve svém prvním odhadu škod způsobených obchodní válkou amerického prezidenta Donalda Trumpa prognózy celoročního prodeje a ziskové marže.
Akcie Volkswagenu zvrátily počáteční ztráty a v 9:50 GMT vzrostly o více než 2 %, přičemž analytik Metzler poukázal na hodnocení generálního ředitele Olivera Blumeho, že výkonnost značek Porsche a Audi by mohla letos dosáhnout dna a v roce 2026 se zotavit.
Akcie Valeo mezitím snížily počáteční ztráty a obchodovaly se s poklesem o 6,6 %.
No macroeconomic publications are scheduled for Wednesday—not in Germany, the eurozone, the US, or the UK. Therefore, we will most likely see the third consecutive "boring" day with no intraday trend moves and minimal volatility.
The only notable fundamental event on Wednesday is a speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. However, recall that the ECB meeting is tomorrow and the outcome is largely known: all three key rates are expected to be raised. Lagarde is unlikely today to discuss monetary policy in detail or to preannounce tomorrow's tightening, so her remarks may go largely unnoticed by the market.
The geopolitical backdrop remains poor. The US and Iran are not negotiating, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed or partially closed, and Yemeni Houthis continue blocking Saudi Arabia. Donald Trump has announced an unprecedented economic operation to "destroy" Iran and threatens sanctions against any countries that interact with it. So far, no one has supported Trump's plan to destroy Iran, and whether it will be implemented is unknown. Over the weekend, Iran and the US again exchanged strikes, which the market largely ignored.
During the third trading day of the week, currency pairs may return to their usual intraday dynamics. Trade the euro from the 1.1655–1.1665 area and the pound from 1.3587–1.3598. The downward correction in the euro and the pound may already be complete, and this week's macro and fundamental events could create renewed pressure on the US dollar.
Price levels (areas) of support and resistance serve as targets for opening buy or sell trades or as sources of signals.
Red lines indicate channels or trend lines that show the current trend and the preferred trading direction.
The MACD indicator (14,22,3) — the histogram and signal line — is an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Important speeches and reports (listed in the news calendar) can significantly influence currency pair movements. Therefore, during their release, traders should approach trading with utmost caution, or exit the market to avoid sudden reversals against the preceding move.
Beginner forex traders should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing money management are key to long-term success in trading.
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